| Date | Match | Pick | Confidence | vs Bookmaker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 19:30 | Barcelona vs Celta Vigo | Home @1.25 | High | +23.2% | |
| 04-22 19:00 | Burnley vs Manchester City | Away @1.22 | High | +20.4% | |
| 04-25 14:15 | Getafe vs Barcelona | Away @1.62 | High | +38.4% | |
| 04-26 13:30 | VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen | Home @1.57 | High | +36.1% | |
| 04-19 15:30 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | Home @1.80 | High | +43.3% | |
| 04-18 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | Home @2.50 | High | +55.6% | |
| 04-26 19:00 | Villarreal vs Celta Vigo | Home @1.83 | High | +41.7% | |
| 04-18 11:30 | Brentford vs Fulham | Home @2.10 | High | +48.7% | |
| 04-21 17:00 | Mallorca vs Valencia | Home @2.50 | High | +52.3% | |
| 04-25 14:00 | West Ham United vs Everton | Home @2.60 | High | +52.0% | |
| 04-20 19:00 | Crystal Palace vs West Ham United | Away @3.00 | High | +55.2% | |
| 04-19 15:30 | Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | Home @1.40 | High | +19.4% | |
| 04-23 17:00 | Levante vs Sevilla | Away @2.70 | High | +50.9% | |
| 04-23 19:30 | Oviedo vs Villarreal | Home @3.70 | High | +57.2% | |
| 04-19 13:00 | Nottingham Forest vs Burnley | Home @1.50 | High | +23.0% | |
| 04-27 19:00 | Manchester United vs Brentford | Away @4.00 | High | +60.1% | |
| 04-18 16:30 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig | Home @3.25 | High | +52.6% | |
| 04-25 11:30 | Fulham vs Aston Villa | Away @2.45 | High | +42.0% | |
| 04-19 13:00 | Aston Villa vs Sunderland | Draw @3.70 | High | +52.2% | |
| 04-26 15:30 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | Away @5.80 | High | +60.0% | |
| 04-30 19:00 | Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa | Draw @3.20 | High | +46.8% | |
| 04-21 19:30 | Girona vs Real Betis | Draw @3.25 | High | +43.3% | |
| 04-18 13:30 | Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg | Draw @3.40 | High | +44.8% | |
| 04-24 19:00 | Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest | Draw @3.10 | High | +41.7% | |
| 04-18 14:00 | Newcastle United vs Bournemouth | Away @3.40 | High | +45.0% | |
| 04-25 16:30 | Arsenal vs Newcastle United | Draw @4.33 | High | +49.9% | |
| 04-25 16:30 | Valencia vs Girona | Away @3.40 | High | +42.9% | |
| 04-25 13:30 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach | Home @2.30 | High | +30.8% | |
| 04-25 14:00 | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur | Draw @3.50 | High | +40.1% | |
| 04-18 19:00 | Chelsea vs Manchester United | Away @3.00 | High | +35.9% | |
| 04-25 14:00 | Liverpool vs Crystal Palace | Draw @4.40 | High | +43.4% | |
| 04-25 13:30 | Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw @3.50 | High | +38.0% | |
| 04-19 13:00 | Everton vs Liverpool | Draw @3.25 | High | +35.4% | |
| 04-24 18:30 | RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin | Draw @4.80 | High | +43.6% | |
| 04-24 19:00 | Real Betis vs Real Madrid | Draw @3.90 | Medium | +31.1% |
| Model | Accuracy | Log Loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logistic Regression BEST | 99.98% ± 0.05% | 0.0767 | |
| Random Forest | 72.09% ± 1.26% | 0.7061 | |
| XGBoost | 93.07% ± 3.35% | 0.2522 | |
| Gradient Boosting | 93.93% ± 3.28% | 0.2133 | |
| Ensemble FINAL | 99.10% | - |
Historical results showing how the model performed on matches it hadn't seen during training. Accuracy: 50/50 correct (100%)
| Date | Match | League | Probabilities | Predicted | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Levante vs Getafe | La Liga | H:78 D:18 A:5 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-13 | Man United vs Leeds | Premier League | H:11 D:22 A:67 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Stuttgart vs Hamburg | Bundesliga | H:97 D:2 A:1 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Celta vs Oviedo | La Liga | H:4 D:6 A:90 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Crystal Palace vs Newcastle | Premier League | H:87 D:8 A:5 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa | Premier League | H:11 D:76 A:13 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | FC Koln vs Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | H:90 D:6 A:4 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Sunderland vs Tottenham | Premier League | H:78 D:16 A:6 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Mainz vs Freiburg | Bundesliga | H:7 D:16 A:77 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Ath Bilbao vs Villarreal | La Liga | H:6 D:15 A:79 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Mallorca vs Vallecano | La Liga | H:94 D:4 A:2 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Osasuna vs Betis | La Liga | H:11 D:77 A:12 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-12 | Chelsea vs Man City | Premier League | H:2 D:5 A:94 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Sevilla vs Ath Madrid | La Liga | H:82 D:11 A:7 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Wolfsburg vs Ein Frankfurt | Bundesliga | H:4 D:18 A:78 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal vs Bournemouth | Premier League | H:10 D:22 A:68 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Brentford vs Everton | Premier League | H:32 D:56 A:13 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | RB Leipzig vs M'gladbach | Bundesliga | H:52 D:44 A:4 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Heidenheim vs Union Berlin | Bundesliga | H:88 D:7 A:6 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Liverpool vs Fulham | Premier League | H:94 D:4 A:2 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | St Pauli vs Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | H:1 D:2 A:97 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Barcelona vs Espanol | La Liga | H:98 D:2 A:1 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Elche vs Valencia | La Liga | H:61 D:31 A:8 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Sociedad vs Alaves | La Liga | H:37 D:50 A:14 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Burnley vs Brighton | Premier League | H:3 D:5 A:92 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-11 | Dortmund vs Leverkusen | Bundesliga | H:8 D:21 A:71 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-10 | Real Madrid vs Girona | La Liga | H:25 D:60 A:16 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-10 | Augsburg vs Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | H:7 D:70 A:22 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-10 | West Ham vs Wolves | Premier League | H:96 D:2 A:1 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-06 | Girona vs Villarreal | La Liga | H:76 D:17 A:7 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-05 | Valencia vs Celta | La Liga | H:9 D:11 A:80 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-05 | Alaves vs Osasuna | La Liga | H:9 D:62 A:29 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-05 | Oviedo vs Sevilla | La Liga | H:76 D:18 A:6 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-05 | Union Berlin vs St Pauli | Bundesliga | H:14 D:72 A:15 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-05 | Getafe vs Ath Bilbao | La Liga | H:89 D:7 A:4 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-05 | Ein Frankfurt vs FC Koln | Bundesliga | H:28 D:64 A:8 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | H:94 D:4 A:3 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | M'gladbach vs Heidenheim | Bundesliga | H:36 D:51 A:13 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Stuttgart vs Dortmund | Bundesliga | H:4 D:5 A:91 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | H:4 D:15 A:82 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | H:6 D:20 A:73 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Hamburg vs Augsburg | Bundesliga | H:10 D:81 A:9 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Ath Madrid vs Barcelona | La Liga | H:7 D:22 A:71 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Betis vs Espanol | La Liga | H:21 D:72 A:6 | Draw | Draw | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | La Liga | H:76 D:14 A:10 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Sociedad vs Levante | La Liga | H:94 D:4 A:2 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-04-04 | Hoffenheim vs Mainz | Bundesliga | H:6 D:14 A:80 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-04-03 | Vallecano vs Elche | La Liga | H:84 D:12 A:4 | Home | Home | OK |
| 2026-03-22 | St Pauli vs Freiburg | Bundesliga | H:4 D:19 A:77 | Away | Away | OK |
| 2026-03-22 | Augsburg vs Stuttgart | Bundesliga | H:2 D:5 A:93 | Away | Away | OK |